Liberty
W-L: (27-26) PR = 92.3676Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 6 206 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 4- 9 207 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 2-13 207 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 2-10 208 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 1- 5 210 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0- 8 213 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 5- 3 213 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 3- 6 214 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 214 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 6- 1 220 H Toledo MA ( 2-13, 89.9) 7- 2 220 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 3- 5 221 H Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 3- 2 221 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 7- 0 227 H Radford BSO ( 3-13, 90.1) 5- 4 227 H Radford BSO ( 3-13, 90.1) 0- 3 228 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 0- 8 228 H UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 1- 7 303 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 0- 8 306 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 1- 9 307 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 3- 1 308 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 4- 6 310 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 9- 8 313 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 10- 0 314 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 9- 0 315 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 8- 6 319 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 8- 1 320 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 9- 1 321 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 11- 3 325 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 1- 2 327 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 7- 2 328 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 3- 2 329 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 9- 6 331 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 6-11 402 A Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 0- 2 403 A Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 7- 1 403 A Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 8- 0 408 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 5-12 410 H Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 3- 2 411 H Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 4- 0 412 H Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 2- 6 415 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 0- 9 417 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 7- 2 418 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 4-10 419 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 6- 5 422 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 10- 9 424 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 2- 7 425 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 0-10 426 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 7-14 428 A St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 0- 8 430 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 8- 3 501 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 14- 0 502 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 10- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Tennessee 1- 6 -5 -5 0.29
206 A Clemson 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.71
207 H Missouri 2-13 -11 -1 --- -9.61
207 H Oregon 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.61
208 A Notre Dame 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.64
210 A Florida State 0- 8 -8 -6 - -2.15
213 H Georgia Southern 5- 3 2 2 -0.47
213 A Alabama 3- 6 -3 -8 ++ 4.51
214 A Alabama 0- 8 -8 -8 -0.49
214 A Georgia Southern 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.02
220 H Toledo 7- 2 5 3 1.75
220 H Syracuse 3- 5 -2 4 --- -6.22
221 H Maryland 3- 2 1 3 -1.85
221 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 4 + 2.78
227 H Radford 5- 4 1 3 - -2.04
227 H Radford 0- 3 -3 3 --- -6.04
228 H Marshall 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.24
228 H UConn 1- 7 -6 2 --- -7.71
303 H Michigan 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.35
306 H Jacksonville State 1- 9 -8 -2 --- -6.34
307 H Jacksonville State 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.66
308 H Jacksonville State 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.34
310 A James Madison 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.10
313 A Middle Tennessee 10- 0 10 1 +++ 8.62
314 A Middle Tennessee 9- 0 9 1 +++ 7.62
315 A Middle Tennessee 8- 6 2 1 0.62
319 A UTEP 8- 1 7 3 ++ 4.01
320 A UTEP 9- 1 8 3 ++ 5.01
321 A UTEP 11- 3 8 3 ++ 5.01
325 A Virginia 1- 2 -1 -3 1.86
327 A Illinois 7- 2 5 2 + 3.38
328 A Marshall 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.24
329 H Delaware 9- 6 3 2 1.34
331 H North Carolina 6-11 -5 -1 -- -4.32
402 A Missouri State 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.83
403 A Missouri State 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.17
403 A Missouri State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.17
408 H Duke 5-12 -7 -4 - -3.50
410 H Western Kentucky 3- 2 1 0 1.48
411 H Western Kentucky 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.48
412 H Western Kentucky 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.52
415 H Virginia Tech 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -5.08
417 A FIU 7- 2 5 -1 +++ 6.02
418 A FIU 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.98
419 A FIU 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.02
422 A Virginia Tech 10- 9 1 -5 +++ 6.40
424 H Louisiana Tech 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.32
425 H Louisiana Tech 0-10 -10 0 --- -10.32
426 A South Florida 7-14 -7 -2 -- -5.18
428 A St. Thomas-Minnesota 0- 8 -8 -5 - -3.33
430 H LSU 8- 3 5 -4 +++ 8.91
501 A Kennesaw State 14- 0 14 4 +++ 10.37
502 A Kennesaw State 10- 3 7 4 + 3.37
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Missouri 2-13 -11 -1 --- -9.61 220 H Syracuse 3- 5 -2 4 --- -6.22 227 H Radford 0- 3 -3 3 --- -6.04 228 H Marshall 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.24 228 H UConn 1- 7 -6 2 --- -7.71 303 H Michigan 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.35 306 H Jacksonville State 1- 9 -8 -2 --- -6.34 425 H Louisiana Tech 0-10 -10 0 --- -10.32 207 H Oregon 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.61 331 H North Carolina 6-11 -5 -1 -- -4.32 415 H Virginia Tech 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -5.08 418 A FIU 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.98 424 H Louisiana Tech 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.32 426 A South Florida 7-14 -7 -2 -- -5.18 206 A Clemson 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.71 208 A Notre Dame 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.64 210 A Florida State 0- 8 -8 -6 - -2.15 227 H Radford 5- 4 1 3 - -2.04 402 A Missouri State 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.83 408 H Duke 5-12 -7 -4 - -3.50 412 H Western Kentucky 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.52 428 A St. Thomas-Minnesota 0- 8 -8 -5 - -3.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Middle Tennessee 10- 0 10 1 +++ 8.62 314 A Middle Tennessee 9- 0 9 1 +++ 7.62 403 A Missouri State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.17 417 A FIU 7- 2 5 -1 +++ 6.02 422 A Virginia Tech 10- 9 1 -5 +++ 6.40 430 H LSU 8- 3 5 -4 +++ 8.91 501 A Kennesaw State 14- 0 14 4 +++ 10.37 213 A Alabama 3- 6 -3 -8 ++ 4.51 214 A Georgia Southern 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.02 319 A UTEP 8- 1 7 3 ++ 4.01 320 A UTEP 9- 1 8 3 ++ 5.01 321 A UTEP 11- 3 8 3 ++ 5.01 403 A Missouri State 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.17 411 H Western Kentucky 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.48 221 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 4 + 2.78 307 H Jacksonville State 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.66 310 A James Madison 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.10 327 A Illinois 7- 2 5 2 + 3.38 328 A Marshall 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.24 419 A FIU 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.02 502 A Kennesaw State 10- 3 7 4 + 3.37 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 1- 6 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.48 -0.53
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 4- 9 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.48 -1.25
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 2-13 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.48 -1.46
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 2-10 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 0.48 -0.98
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 1- 5 -6.91 12.46 0.74 0.48 -1.47
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0- 8 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.48 -0.40
3 H Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 5- 3 -9.26 10.11 -0.74 0.48 8.91
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 3- 6 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.48 -0.01
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.48 -0.01
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 6- 1 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.48 10.33
3 H Toledo ( 2-13, 89.9) 7- 2 -10.04 9.33 -0.74 0.48 8.17
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 3- 5 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.48 -2.80
3 H Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 3- 2 -9.64 9.73 -0.74 0.48 8.54
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 7- 0 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.48 7.24
3 H Radford ( 3-13, 90.1) 5- 4 -9.83 9.54 -0.74 0.48 8.37
3 H Radford ( 3-13, 90.1) 0- 3 -9.83 9.54 -0.74 0.48 -2.51
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 0- 8 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 0.48 -1.61
3 H UConn ( 3-13, 91.4) 1- 7 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.48 -2.20
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 0- 8 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.48 -1.40
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 1- 9 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.48 -1.40
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 3- 1 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.48 12.83
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 4- 6 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.48 -1.40
3 A James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 9- 8 -7.17 12.20 0.74 0.48 12.31
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 10- 0 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.48 9.95
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 9- 0 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.48 9.95
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 8- 6 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.48 9.95
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 8- 1 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.48 8.42
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 9- 1 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.48 8.42
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 11- 3 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.48 8.42
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 1- 2 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.48 -1.11
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 7- 2 -9.90 9.47 0.74 0.48 9.71
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 3- 2 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.48 13.39
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 9- 6 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.48 9.68
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 6-11 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.48 -1.63
3 A Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 0- 2 -9.10 10.27 0.74 0.48 -1.99
3 A Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 7- 1 -9.10 10.27 0.74 0.48 10.47
3 A Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 8- 0 -9.10 10.27 0.74 0.48 10.47
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 5-12 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.48 -0.96
3 H Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 3- 2 -6.31 13.06 -0.74 0.48 11.71
3 H Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 4- 0 -6.31 13.06 -0.74 0.48 11.71
3 H Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 2- 6 -6.31 13.06 -0.74 0.48 -1.68
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 0- 9 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.48 -0.86
3 A FIU (32-18, 92.6) 7- 2 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.48 12.23
3 A FIU (32-18, 92.6) 4-10 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.48 -1.55
3 A FIU (32-18, 92.6) 6- 5 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.48 12.23
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 10- 9 -2.87 16.50 0.74 0.48 16.40
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 2- 7 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.48 -1.87
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 0-10 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.48 -1.87
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 7-14 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.48 -1.36
3 A St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 0- 8 -3.61 15.76 0.74 0.48 -0.68
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 8- 3 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 0.48 14.98
3 A Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 14- 0 -11.91 7.46 0.74 0.48 7.80
3 A Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 10- 3 -11.91 7.46 0.74 0.48 7.80
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245.43
|
winning pts = 280.3866 losing points = -34.9601
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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